Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.073450 0.087345 0.102947 0.121735 0.143715 0.168586 0.198832
2025-02-16 0.051984 0.069748 0.092001 0.121798 0.160512 0.208952 0.273986
2025-02-23 0.041161 0.060733 0.087441 0.126262 0.180903 0.254665 0.361297
2025-03-02 0.031729 0.050793 0.078778 0.122376 0.187994 0.282330 0.427260
2025-03-09 0.026046 0.044770 0.074050 0.122473 0.199643 0.316666 0.505896
2025-03-16 0.021422 0.039299 0.068916 0.120612 0.207346 0.345283 0.578706
2025-03-23 0.018694 0.036366 0.067195 0.123660 0.222806 0.387225 0.676755
2025-03-30 0.015880 0.032684 0.063482 0.122533 0.230777 0.417496 0.758778
2025-04-06 0.013368 0.029047 0.059177 0.119527 0.234761 0.441065 0.831579
2025-04-13 0.011197 0.025643 0.054704 0.115405 0.235915 0.459423 0.896761
2025-04-20 0.010041 0.024120 0.053632 0.117642 0.249227 0.501071 1.008546
2025-04-27 0.008931 0.022474 0.052026 0.118505 0.259831 0.538603 1.116355
2025-05-04 0.007881 0.020796 0.050147 0.118651 0.269287 0.575542 1.228316
2025-05-11 0.007081 0.019557 0.049045 0.120340 0.282241 0.620981 1.362431
2025-05-18 0.006577 0.018959 0.049309 0.125126 0.302486 0.683491 1.538004
2025-05-25 0.005643 0.017044 0.046115 0.121352 0.303084 0.704698 1.629217
2025-06-01 0.005043 0.015906 0.044639 0.121465 0.312573 0.745996 1.767743
2025-06-08 0.004432 0.014603 0.042514 0.119623 0.317140 0.776789 1.886202
2025-06-15 0.004102 0.014059 0.042303 0.122649 0.333915 0.836958 2.076766
2025-06-22 0.003651 0.013042 0.040625 0.121530 0.340154 0.873265 2.215979
2025-06-29 0.003193 0.011899 0.038393 0.118547 0.341190 0.897262 2.328592
2025-07-06 0.002761 0.010742 0.035908 0.114457 0.338735 0.912444 2.421481
2025-07-13 0.002559 0.010335 0.035618 0.116676 0.353657 0.972371 2.630108